Amathrendi Emakethe Yethusi Elihlanzekile Ka-2026: Isidingo Esiqophayo Esiqhutshwa Ukufakwa Kukagesi Nokuthuthukiswa Kwegridi

Imakethe yethusi ngo-2026 imayelana nezisekelo: isidingo siyanda kakhulu kuyilapho ukutholakala okusha kusalokhu kuhamba kancane. Ngenkathi izinsimbi ezifana nethusi nethusi zibamba ukunakwa kokusetshenziswa kwemishini, ithusi elimsulwa—elivame ukubizwa ngokuthi ithusi elibomvu noma ithusi eliqinile le-electrolytic (ETP)—lisalokhu liyinkosi engaphikiswana ngayo yokuqhuba ugesi nokushisa. Ukusetshenziswa kwethusi elicwengisisiwe emhlabeni wonke kusendleleni yokufinyelela amathani ayizigidi ezingama-29.5 kulo nyaka, kanti amazinga ethusi elimsulwa abangela isabelo esikhulu ekuxhunyweni kwezintambo, amabha, kanye nengqalasizinda yamandla.

Amanani abelokhu eshintshashintsha kodwa ekhuphukile kakhulu, ehweba phakathi kuka-$11,500–$13,000 ngethoni ngayinye ku-LME, okusekelwa ukuntuleka okuqhubekayo okulinganiselwa ku-300,000–500,000 amathani. Kunoma ubani othenga ithusi elinomoya ophakeme, umyalezo ucacile: qinisekisa ukunikezwa kusenesikhathi futhi ucabangele izinkontileka zesikhathi eside.

Le ngxenye igxila endaweni evelele yethusi elimsulwa, izinhlobo zalo ezibalulekile, izinzuzo eziyingqayizivele, nokuthi kungani lingenakufakwa esikhundleni salo ku-megatrend yokufakelwa kukagesi.

Amabanga Ethusi Elihlanzekile Eliyinhloko Emakethe

Ithusi elimsulwa liza ngezindlela eziningana ezihlanzekile kakhulu ezenzelwe izidingo ezithile zokusebenza:

  • Ithusi le-Electrolytic Tough Pitch (ETP)(C11000): Izinga lokusebenza elinobumsulwa obungu-99.90%+ kanye nokuqhuba kahle kakhulu (100–101% IACS). Lisetshenziswa kabanzi ezintanjeni zikagesi, ezintanjeni zamabhasi, nasezintanjeni zikagesi.
  • Ithusi Elingenawo Umoya-mpilo (OFHC)(C10100/C10200): Ubumsulwa obuphezulu kakhulu (99.99%+), akukho zikhala zomoya-mpilo, zilungele ukusetshenziswa kwe-vacuum, izintambo zomsindo eziphezulu, kanye nezingxenye ze-semiconductor.
  • Ithusi Elisusiwe I-Oxidized(DHP/DLP): I-phosphorus-deoxidized ukuze kube lula ukushibilika, evame kakhulu kumapayipi okufaka amanzi, kuma-heat exchanger, kanye nezinhlelo ze-HVAC.

Lezi zigaba zakha cishe u-70% wokusetshenziswa kwethusi emhlabeni wonke, ikakhulukazi emikhakheni kagesi neye-elekthronikhi lapho ukuhanjiswa okuphezulu kakhulu kungaxoxiswana ngakho.

Indima Ebalulekile Yethusi Elihlanzekile ngo-2026

Ithusi elimsulwa alikhazimuli—liwumgogodla othule wengqalasizinda yesimanje. Ukuhanjiswa kwalo kukagesi nokushisa okucishe kuphelele (okwesibili kwesiliva, kodwa ngentengo encane kakhulu) kwenza kube yinto ebalulekile ekudlulisweni kwamandla okuphumelelayo.

Abashayeli abafunwa kakhulu kulo nyaka:

  • Izimoto Zikagesi: I-EV evamile isebenzisa ama-80–100 kg ethusi—ikakhulukazi amazinga amsulwa ezinjini, amabhethri, kanye nezintambo zokuxhuma—uma kuqhathaniswa nama-20 kg kuphela emotweni ye-ICE.
  • Amandla Avuselelekayo kanye Nokwandiswa Kwegridi: Amapulazi omoya, izitshalo zelanga, kanye nokuthuthukiswa kokudlulisela kudinga inqwaba enkulu yekhebula elinomoya ophezulu kanye nezibha zamabhasi ukuze kuncishiswe ukulahleka.
  • Izikhungo Zedatha kanye ne-AI: Ukukhula okukhulu ezindaweni ezisebenzisa i-hyperscale kudinga ithusi elihlanzekile ukuze kusatshalaliswe amandla kanye nezinhlelo zokupholisa.
  • Ama-elekthronikhi AbathengiKusukela kuma-smartphone kuya kumishini yasekhaya, ithusi elimsulwa liqinisekisa ukusebenza okuthembekile emiklamo emincane.

Ukusimama kwenezela olunye ungqimba: ithusi lingaphinde lisetshenziswe ngokungenamkhawulo ngaphandle kokulahlekelwa yikhwalithi. Ithusi elihlanzekile eliphinde lasetshenziswa manje lihlinzeka ngesidingo somhlaba wonke esingaphezu kuka-35%, okusiza abakhiqizi ukuhlangabezana nezidingo eziqinile ze-ESG eYurophu naseNyakatho Melika.

Indlela Ithusi Elihlanzekile Elinqwabelana Ngayo Uma Liqhathaniswa Nezingxube Nezinye Izindlela

Ithusi elimsulwa liyakhanya lapho ukuhanjiswa kwegesi kubaluleke kakhulu khona, kodwa akuhloselwe wonke umsebenzi—yilapho ama-alloy engena khona.

Izinzuzo Kune-Alloys Yethusi:

  • Ukuqhuba kukagesi okuphezulu: 100%+ IACS vs. 20–60% kuma-brasses amaningi nama-bronze.Ithusi elimsulwa
  • Ukusebenza kahle kakhulu kokushisa: Kubalulekile kuma-heat exchanger kanye nokupholisa ibhethri le-EV.
  • Ukuqina nokwakheka okumangalisayo: Kulula ukukudonsa ku-wire encane noma ku-foil encane.
  • Isebenza kahle ekusetshenzisweni kukagesi okusetshenziswa kakhulu.

Ukushintshana:

  • Amandla aphansi okusebenza: Ithusi elimsulwa lithambile futhi aligugi kakhulu kunethusi noma ithusi, ngakho-ke lidinga ukuhlanganiswa noma ukusekelwa kwezakhiwo zezingxenye ezithwala umthwalo.
  • Kuthambekele kakhulu ekushisweni yi-oxidation ngaphandle kokuvikela (yize amazinga e-OFHC enciphisa lokhu).

Uma kuqhathaniswa nezinye izindlela ezifana ne-Aluminium: I-Aluminium ilula futhi ishibhile kodwa iphatha kuphela ithusi elingu-60% kanye nethusi. Ezisetshenzisweni zamandla aphezulu (ukushaja okusheshayo kwe-EV, imigqa yegridi), ukumelana okuphansi kwethusi kusho ukushisa okuncane kanye nokusebenza kahle okuphezulu—ngokuvamile okuqinisekisa intengo ephezulu.

Kafushane,ithusi elihlanzekileungumnikazi “womqhele wokuqhuba” futhi akayi ndawo uma nje sisacindezela ama-electron amaningi ohlelweni.

Umbono ka-2026: Ukuntuleka Kwesakhiwo Kusekela Amanani Aqinile

Imikhawulo yokuphakelwa—amaphrojekthi ezimayini abambezelekile eChile nasePeru, kanye nezithiyo zokushintsha kwamandla—kungenzeka ukuthi kugcine izimakethe ziqinile. Abahlaziyi babikezela amanani ajwayelekile e-LME acishe abe ngu-$12,000/ton ngonyaka, kanye nengozi ephezulu uma kuphazamiseka.

Kubathengi, gxila kubaphakeli abahlanzekile kakhulu abanokuqukethwe okunamandla okuphinde kwasetshenziswa kanye ne-logistics ethembekile. Ukushintshela ekungeneni kokungenawo umoya-mpilo kanye namazinga e-ETP ezinhlelo zokusebenza zesizukulwane esilandelayo (njengezakhiwo ze-800V EV) kuyashesha—abasebenzisa kusenesikhathi bazoba nethuba.

(Ukubukwa okusekelwe emibikweni yamanje yemakethe kanye nemithombo yemboni; amanani kanye nezibikezelo kungashintsha.)


Isikhathi sokuthunyelwe: Jan-23-2026