Ukuhweba ngensimbi ye-cyber: umbono wemakethe yethusi yomhlaba wonke ka-2026-2030

I. Umbono Oyinhloko: Ithusi Lihlala Esiteshini Senkunzi Sesikhathi Eside, Kodwa Ukuguquguquka Kwentengo Kuzokhula Ngokuphawulekayo

UCymber ukholelwa ukuthi imakethe yethusi elicwengisisiwe kusukela ngo-2026 kuya ku-2030 izogcina ibhalansi eqinile kuya kuphethini lokulahlekelwa elimaphakathi, kanti isikhungo samanani esimaphakathi sonyaka kulindeleke ukuthi sishintshe siye phezulu unyaka nonyaka ngaphakathi kwebangaUS$10,800–12,500 ngethani. Abashayeli abayinhloko bahlanganisa:

• Isidingo esinzima esiqhubekayokusukela ekutshalweni kwezimali kwegridi yamandla kanye nokwakhiwa kwesikhungo sedatha (isilinganiso sokukhula kwe-compound yonyaka esibikezelwe esingu-4.8%–5.5%);
• Ukulibaziseka kwemijikelezo yezindleko zezimali ekupheleni kokumba, okuholele ekunciphiseni ijubane lokutholakala okusha okuzayo ku-inthanethi (ukukhula kokukhiqizwa kwethusi okumbiwe emhlabeni wonke okungu-100% kuphela)1.2%–1.8% ngonyakakusukela ngo-2026 kuya ku-2028);
• Izithiyo ohlelweni lokuvuselela kabusha ithusi elilahliwe emazweni amakhulu ngenxa yemithethonqubo yezemvelo kanye nezithiyo zezinga lokuqoqwa, okuholela ekuqineni kokushintsha okuphansi kunalokho obekulindelekile.

Ngesikhathi esifanayo, izinguquko kwezomnotho kanye nezezwe zizokwenza ukuguquguquka kwentengo kwande kakhulu uma kuqhathaniswa nesikhathi sika-2021-2024. Ukushintshashintsha kwentengo njalo ngekota kulindeleke ukuthi kufinyelele18%–25%, okudala amathuba amakhulu okuvikela kanye namathuba enzuzo yesakhiwo samabhizinisi anamakhono aphelele okuphatha izingozi ochungechungeni oluphelele.

II. Izexwayiso Zengozi Ezihlukaniswe Ngezigaba

Kusukela engxenyeni yesibili ka-2026 kuya engxenyeni yokuqala ka-2027, kungase kuvele ithuba lesikhashana lokunciphisa ukungalingani kokunikezwa kwezidingo, okubangelwa kakhulu yilokhu:

• Ukumiswa kwesikhathi esicongweni somjikelezo wokutshalwa kwezimali kwegridi kagesi eShayina;
• Ukwehla kwesivinini sokwakhiwa kwezikhungo zedatha eYurophu nase-United States;
• Ukwanda kokukhiqiza ngaphambi kwesikhathi esibekiwe ezimayini ezintsha ezithile ePeru naseChile.

Uma i-Federal Reserve iqala umjikelezo omusha wokunciphisa inzalo ngo-2026, ukwehla okusheshayo kwenkomba yedola laseMelika kuzokhulisa izimfanelo zezimali zethusi, okungenzeka kubangele ukuthi amanani enyuke kakhulu ngaphambi kokuba ahlehle ngokushesha.

Izingxabano zezombusazwe noma izinguquko zenqubomgomo emazweni amakhulu akhiqiza ithusi (isib. ukuguqulwa kwentela yezimayini eChile noma inkinga kagesi eZambia) ziyaqhubeka nokuba nezingozi zokushaqeka kokunikezwa kwamandla.